PTB >> Liquid
Crystal Displays Light the Way
Evident in PTB’s discussions with industry experts was the dominance
of liquid crystal display (LCD) technology across a majority of today’s
application areas, with few, yet noteworthy, exceptions. Despite its current
stature, LCDs will face increasing competition as newer technologies evolve
into viable alternatives.
At the forefront are the advancements in organic light-emitting diode
(OLED) technology. Because they require no backlight, OLED displays are
said to be lighter, thinner, and may one day be simpler to construct.
These displays also offer a wide viewing angle (even in bright light)
and operate with low voltage.
“Organic LED seems to be the next latest and greatest technology.
It looks very interesting long-term, maybe five years depending on the
marketplace,” stated John Peterson, president of Endicott Research
Group, a supplier of standard and custom DC-AC inverters for backlit LCDs.
Peterson explained that OLED is not the kind of technology that you can
just make in any size. There is still some question as to how adept it
is at addressing the power requirements and power shifting for larger
displays.
Sriram Peruvemba, general manager of Flat Panel Display Systems for Three-Five
Systems, added, “Current limitations include image retention, differential
aging (blue ages faster than red and green), short lifetimes, and high
cost due to the low volumes being produced. As these problems are conquered,
OLEDs will indeed become a viable mainstream technology.”
Taking a closer look, active and passive OLED displays are not following
the same timeline. Despite the fact that passive OLED displays have already
started making their way into products like mobile phones and PDAs (mostly
as sub-displays under 1.5"), Johan van de Ven, chief technology officer
of Philips Mobile Display Systems, does not expect active OLED displays
to reach significant volumes until 2007 or 2008, even though the majority
of technical limitations will be solved by 2006 or 2007.
In order to produce larger-sized (main screen) OLED displays with higher
resolution, active-matrix (thin film transistor or TFT) driving is necessary.
Applications will initially range from mobile phones to notebook computers
and PC monitors. “The future of OLED is really active-matrix,”
said van de Ven. “Active-matrix OLEDs will be available in multimedia
and high-end products in serious market shares by 2008 or 2009. In five
years, large panel screens may even employ OLEDs on a niche basis, but
they will not really be available throughout the market for another 10
years.” Jos Klippert, marketing director of LCD TV Solutions for
Philips Semiconductors, cautioned, “There will be emerging technologies
such as OLED; however, they will have to compete against massive market
acceptance of LCD and the economies of scale of the installed base.”
Noting the company’s interest in emerging technologies, Ian Matthew,
3D business development manager for Sharp Systems of America, indicated
that they plan to add more realism by creating “glasses-free”
3D display technology within the LCD, which will be controlled by the
software or TV program, depending on whether it is for a monitor or television.
“Of course, the display is not the only part of this. Content providers
and networks have to come on board to make this happen. We don’t
see this becoming common in televisions for some time,” said Matthew,
adding that HDTV is, however, a good example of how fast new technology
can be accepted.
In Charge & Large?
“The dominant technology across the board today is LCD, yet we do
still see cathode ray tubes (CRTs) used in the TV industry and to some
extent in the desktop monitor industry,” said Steve Vrablik, director
of Business Development for Toshiba America Electronic Components. “CRTs
are really only in the larger size TV applications at the moment. For
the most part, LCDs have pretty well taken over industrial, consumer goods,
and automotive markets.”
Even though plasma display panels (PDPs) abound in today’s large-format
applications, LCDs are expected to encroach on and eventually capture
this space, too. “LCDs will continue to dominate the large-screen
markets, displacing PDPs in the 40"-70" markets,” stated
Matthew.
Advancements in enabling technology are expected to improve LCD performance
and help create this shift. Lightemitting diodes (LEDs), for instance,
are an increasingly attractive light source option. “We have already
helped enable LED manufacturers to capture more markets that they may
not have otherwise been able to by providing them with a technology that
enables them to more efficiently use their products,” said David
DeAgazio, director ofsales worldwide for Global Lighting
Technologies, a provider of MicroLens™ white LED-based solutions
for LCD backlighting. “Manufacturers are looking at using LED backlighting
in technologies ranging from small mobile phones to large widescreen TVs.”
DeAgazio continued, “Current lighting systems for LCD televisions
look like a toaster oven with rows and rows of fluorescent lamps behind
the display to provide enough light. The problem is that you don’t
get your full color spectrum. With LED backlights, you’re going
to get truer color tones, similar to those of a plasma TV display.”
Philips Semiconductors’ Klippert agreed, “LED backlighting
is a promising new technology that enables extreme improvement in picture
quality by reproducing more vivid colors and color depth. While cost is
still prohibitive, economies of scale will eventually bring these improvements
to the market.”
This trend is evident in recent product introductions. Last August, for
example, Sony Corporation announced their 40" and 46" Qualia
televisions, which employ their Triluminos™ Backlight System based
on Luxeon® LEDs from Lumileds™ Lighting. According to Sony,
the display system in Qualia products delivers 105% of the NTSC (National
Television System Committee) color space — a color broadcast standard
used in the United States, Canada, Japan, most of the American continent
countries, and various Asian countries — while conventional technologies
supply 65%-75%.
“LCD TV is clearly driving the market,” said Klippert. “According
to research from Display Search, the market grew 100% in quantity between
Q3 2003 and Q3 2004. At the same time, the average diagonal of the LCD
TV is increasing.” Klippert attributes this to more affordable prices
stimulating largernumbers of customers to switch to size 30" and
larger LCD TVs.
Mobile Phones
Our experts also labeled mobile phones as a rapidly evolving, primary
market. Manufacturers continue to strive for new levels of integrated
functionality while retaining a thin, compact profile. More content requires
higher resolution. Toshiba’s Vrablik noted that improvements in
operating software will better serve the trend toward high resolution
not only in cell phones, but across applications.
“I think you will see significantly higher resolutions happen in
five years. You are going to see more than we can fathom today in some
of these small and medium size applications,” said Vrablik. “In
another area of technology development, Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)
phones are starting to crop up as a result of sufficient bandwidth and
speed to enable good picture quality.”
“Mobile phones are already transforming into mobile communications
terminals,” agreed van de Ven, who expects the development of new
applications to result from the convergence of several technical and business
factors. Factors include the transition to 3G, operators’ need to
increase the average revenue per unit (ARPU), and handset makers’
need to differentiate and retain the value of their products. “Video-on-Mobile
is already a 3G application, although it is slow in frame rate and still
requires a lot of improvements to become a killer application.”
Also count on plastic and transparent displays, where the “clamshell”
will have one display that is visible from either side, eliminating the
need for a second display, advised van de Ven.
Automotive
With two distinct markets — entertainment/infotainment and navigation
systems — the automotive segment of the market is poised for growth.
With rear-seat entertainment traditionally stronger in North America,
and navigation systems initiated in Europe and Japan, both are becoming
more typical in newer automotive offerings.
Philips’ van de Ven predicted that future market growth (2005-2012)
in automotive display will be driven by more penetration of video entertainment
and navigation systems in North America, Western Europe, and Japan as
well as the uptake of these systems in the rest of the world (namely China).
“The penetration of navigation systems will expand to the mid segment,
and video entertainment systems will penetrate the sedan segment.”
Endicott’s Peterson said the fine-tuning of LCD technology (higher
contrast ratios and brightness levels, better cold-temperature performance,
etc.) will incrementally improve the technology, allowing it to migrate
into the instrument panel and mission-critical applications. Peterson
was optimistic, “I think five years down the road your entire dashboard
will be nothing more than a large, LCD display. One large panel, and they
will draw on it via software for whatever sort of instrument cluster you
want to see.”


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